Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $21.733 in open interest, and the 79¢ spread indicates significant pricing uncertainty between bid-ask levels. The 181.1% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high, suggesting the 40¢ price may undervalue Jackson's MVP chances relative to the risk-adjusted 91% yield, though this could reflect genuine uncertainty about his 2026 performance or injury risk over the 302-day horizon. The neutral regime and low cliff risk score suggest stable pricing conditions, but traders should be cautious given the illiquidity and wide spread when entering positions.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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