What is the current probability for "Reed Sheppard: 3+ threes"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 27, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Reed Sheppard: 3+ threes"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.0% and 13754.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Reed Sheppard: 3+ threes"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Reed Sheppard: 3+ threes

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Reed Sheppard: 3+ threes. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $4,134.38·OI $3,616.38·Closes Apr 27, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBA3PT-26APR26LALHOU-HOURSHEPPARD15-3

7-day price110 snapshots · 7 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 265¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Reed Sheppard records 3+ Three Pointers in the Los Angeles L at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.0%

IY (No) 13754.3%

Adj IY 6304%

CRI 5

Overround 4.2%

LAS 0.08

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13754.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6304%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	4.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.08	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 4:03:39 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 3:08:38 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA3PT-26APR26LALHOU-HOURSHEPPARD15-3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →