Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 86% probability that Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?. This contract trades at 86¢ on Polymarket.

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86¢
Bid/Ask 84/87¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $122.623·OI $27,226.926·195d remaining
0x3c5b93b91196c8db64e63c424979da8cfbf44a4501afd70d2480ee28fbf306a2
7-day price20 snapshots · 7 regime
87¢86¢ current
Apr 1482¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 30.4%
IY (No) 1148.9%
Adj IY 574%
CRI 6
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)30.4%
IY (No)1148.9%
Adj IY574%
CRI6

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:23:44 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x3c5b93b91196c8db64e63c424979da8cfbf44a4501afd70d2480ee28fbf306a2 yes 100

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