Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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19¢
Bid/Ask 18/19¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $798.625·OI $33,065.496·Closes Jun 30, 2026·61d remaining
0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055
7-day price734 snapshots · 32 regime
52¢19¢ current
Apr 812¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2549.9%
IY (No) 140.3%
Adj IY 1208%
CRI 4
LAS 0.05
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2549.9%
IY (No)140.3%
Adj IY1208%
CRI4
LAS0.05

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 11:26:58 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 11:23:58 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055 yes 100

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