What is the current probability for "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ threes"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 84¢ (84% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 14, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ threes"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.0% and 11893.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ threes"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ threes

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 84% probability that Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ threes. This contract trades at 84¢ on Kalshi, closing May 14, 2026.

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84¢mid

Bid/Ask 83/84¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 14, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBA3PT-26APR30NYKATL-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7-2

7-day price23 snapshots · 2 regime

84¢83¢ current

Apr 291¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

If Nickeil Alexander-Walker records 2+ Three Pointers in the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.0%

IY (No) 11893.9%

Adj IY 11751%

CRI 5

RV 183797%

VR 27.94

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11893.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11751%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	183797%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	27.94	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	12.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 11:24:26 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 11:23:58 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA3PT-26APR30NYKATL-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →