Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

This market has experienced extreme volatility, collapsing 78 percentage points over seven days (87¢ to 19¢), suggesting either new information about the Bank of Israel's likely May decision or a significant repricing event. The 4019% implied yield on the "yes" side combined with a 4.0 cliff risk index indicates severe tail risk and potential liquidity concerns, with the 3¢ spread relatively wide for a binary contract. With only $686 in 24-hour volume against $1.99M open interest and 39 days to expiration, this market appears illiquid and potentially vulnerable to further sharp moves as the decision date approaches.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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