What is the current probability for "Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 8¢ (8% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 6, 2026. 228 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1839.8% and 13.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Polymarket, closing December 6, 2026.

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8¢

Bid/Ask 8/8¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $1,004.925·OI $86,292.016·Closes Dec 6, 2026·228d remaining

0x5580ee82864f4523f7ecfe3a132642ca2db71a4187cd9d45df10579bf7655efd

7-day price10 snapshots · 42 regime

9¢8¢ current

Apr 116¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1839.8%

IY (No) 13.9%

Adj IY 920%

CRI 12

Overround -0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1839.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	920%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	12	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.341

Spread

0¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 8:24:22 PM

Observability lowEvent type sports

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x5580ee82864f4523f7ecfe3a132642ca2db71a4187cd9d45df10579bf7655efd yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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