Will Tanner Scott win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.4M open interest, suggesting the position is largely locked in with minimal recent trading activity. The 25¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 13¢ price, and the 989.9% implied yield on the "Yes" side reflects the outsized payoff potential for a low-probability outcome, though the 3,016% realized volatility indicates this metric may be unstable given the thin trading. With 247 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 7, there's meaningful uncertainty about Scott's injury recovery trajectory and competitive positioning relative to other NL candidates.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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