Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?

Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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20¢
Bid/Ask 19/21¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $14,623.485·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0x5e75c47528185caa0b8140d5199a505b111d535d004f10c14c77099e160f8c43
7-day price30 snapshots · 3 regime
25¢20¢ current
Apr 817¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2111.3%
IY (No) 132.0%
Adj IY 1056%
CRI 4
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2111.3%
IY (No)132.0%
Adj IY1056%
CRI4
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:29:08 PM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x5e75c47528185caa0b8140d5199a505b111d535d004f10c14c77099e160f8c43 yes 100

Related concepts

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