Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 94% probability that Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 94¢ on Polymarket.

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94¢
Bid/Ask 93/95¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $20,488.6·195d remaining
0x60ca789c3914e542823bc01188d432a26d4a53fdc09f7dead731f9f9c603db94

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 11.9%
IY (No) 2930.2%
Adj IY 1465%
CRI 16
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)11.9%
IY (No)2930.2%
Adj IY1465%
CRI16

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:16 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x60ca789c3914e542823bc01188d432a26d4a53fdc09f7dead731f9f9c603db94 yes 100

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