Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Polymarket.

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46¢
Bid/Ask 44/47¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $30·OI $51,995.882·195d remaining
0x650e3ebc043ddbcfa1d1ffda0c5830f19da7389827889fb5db3474bde5b007fb
7-day price88 snapshots · 7 regime
49¢46¢ current
Apr 1044¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 219.6%
IY (No) 159.3%
Adj IY 110%
CRI 1
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)219.6%
IY (No)159.3%
Adj IY110%
CRI1

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:18 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x650e3ebc043ddbcfa1d1ffda0c5830f19da7389827889fb5db3474bde5b007fb yes 100

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