Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 75% probability that Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 75¢ on Polymarket.

██████████████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░
75¢
Bid/Ask 74/76¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $23.23·OI $16,662.874·195d remaining
0x6664de877892786b699c552ef88f25ff6e4828f9a847e4f40e4d6d9cd30b1485
7-day price252 snapshots · 5 regime
83¢75¢ current
Apr 865¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 62.3%
IY (No) 561.1%
Adj IY 281%
CRI 3
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)62.3%
IY (No)561.1%
Adj IY281%
CRI3

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:12 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x6664de877892786b699c552ef88f25ff6e4828f9a847e4f40e4d6d9cd30b1485 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions