Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 60% probability that Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 60¢ on Polymarket.

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60¢
Bid/Ask 58/62¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $36.19·OI $29,418.502·195d remaining
0x73a9911393e7bd2262904c4413d9614f68bb6290ddf7d88ed607f1562d08fb05
7-day price119 snapshots · 3 regime
62¢60¢ current
Apr 856¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 124.7%
IY (No) 280.6%
Adj IY 140%
CRI 2
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)124.7%
IY (No)280.6%
Adj IY140%
CRI2

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:28 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x73a9911393e7bd2262904c4413d9614f68bb6290ddf7d88ed607f1562d08fb05 yes 100

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