Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing June 27, 2026.

███████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
17¢
Bid/Ask 15/19¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $100·OI $17,259.238·Closes Jun 27, 2026·66d remaining
0x73b5c4c8e2cc6e60d97fe6747c19efd3c4d63b6983590bb82d8852d5f1fc46cc
7-day price78 snapshots · 2 regime
21¢17¢ current
Apr 816¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2693.9%
IY (No) 113.0%
Adj IY 1347%
CRI 5
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2693.9%
IY (No)113.0%
Adj IY1347%
CRI5
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:06 PM
Observability mediumEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x73b5c4c8e2cc6e60d97fe6747c19efd3c4d63b6983590bb82d8852d5f1fc46cc yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions