Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $379k open interest, and a wide 12¢ spread suggests difficulty executing trades at the listed 18¢ price.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $379k open interest, and a wide 12¢ spread suggests difficulty executing trades at the listed 18¢ price. The 642% implied yield on the Yes side is notably asymmetric compared to the 31% yield on No, indicating either significant underpricing of launch probability or thin liquidity distorting the Yes contract valuation. With 259 days until expiry and no recent price movement, this appears to be a stale market where the 18¢ price may not reflect current sentiment about Fomo's token launch prospects.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fomo (https://fomo.family/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fomo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x77863f2daa5c54b3b164e677657f606431a6ddba459513e8509ef4d35f5f6df2 yes 100