Will Timothy Wilcox win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Timothy Wilcox win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing August 11, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 1/4¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $17,021.9·Closes Aug 11, 2026·111d remaining
0x79844669053846ba329e13a328448365b0189d515df997ecec141e4fb91fdecb
7-day price55 snapshots · 1 regime
3¢3¢ current
Apr 182¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10617.7%
IY (No) 10.2%
Adj IY 5309%
CRI 32
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10617.7%
IY (No)10.2%
Adj IY5309%
CRI32
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:59 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x79844669053846ba329e13a328448365b0189d515df997ecec141e4fb91fdecb yes 100

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