Will Jared Triolo win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?
Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Jared Triolo win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1,073 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 30¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1,073 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 30¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 329% implied yield on the yes side combined with a massive 1,336% realized volatility and 9.42 vol ratio suggests wild price swings driven by minimal trading activity rather than fundamental shifts in Triolo's award prospects. The 59¢ spread is notably wide, and with 247 days to expiration, this appears to be a thin, speculative market where the pricing may not reflect true consensus on a relatively unknown player's chances at a prestigious defensive award.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0x7bac7ef781e0024a8e4913ce44a09f2c9c1b37693bae19ba4e8016e5b46b13f0 yes 100