Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?

Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Polymarket, closing June 15, 2026.

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31¢
Bid/Ask 1/62¢·Spread 60¢·Vol $0·OI $58.786·Closes Jun 15, 2026·47d remaining
0x7e8a2c735e4e5ba777620f6c241f5e377cb1c6589ff85b675c98c1e34403c184
7-day price619 snapshots · 4 regime
50¢2¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 18769.7%
IY (No) 32.6%
Adj IY 9385%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)18769.7%
IY (No)32.6%
Adj IY9385%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
60¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 8:00:49 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 7:53:14 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x7e8a2c735e4e5ba777620f6c241f5e377cb1c6589ff85b675c98c1e34403c184 yes 100

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