Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing January 4, 2027. This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion typical of low-volume prediction markets, with zero 24-hour volume despite $59.2k open interest and a massive 48¢ bid-ask spread.
Analysis
This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion typical of low-volume prediction markets, with zero 24-hour volume despite $59.2k open interest and a massive 48¢ bid-ask spread. The 1,598% implied yield on the "Yes" side is a red flag indicating the 30¢ price likely reflects stale quotes rather than genuine market consensus, especially given the tripled price movement from 10¢ to 30¢ over seven days amid near-zero trading activity. With 263 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 3,821%, this market appears illiquid and potentially mispriced—traders should demand significant liquidity before committing capital.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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sf trade 0x823b60dbfd245942833931cc291d2290c802f549fd3b55ab2102e9ad23413e16 yes 100