Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing August 11, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 2/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $251.029·OI $17,112.965·Closes Aug 11, 2026·111d remaining
0x89ab9d913d0a89d4c7cdd89398644e8dc3f5d215b61a2bd981a39fc4f98add90
7-day price81 snapshots · 23 regime
3¢3¢ current
Apr 122¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10617.7%
IY (No) 10.2%
Adj IY 5309%
CRI 32
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10617.7%
IY (No)10.2%
Adj IY5309%
CRI32
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:10 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x89ab9d913d0a89d4c7cdd89398644e8dc3f5d215b61a2bd981a39fc4f98add90 yes 100

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