Will Dansby Swanson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.07M open interest, and the 59¢ spread reflects significant pricing uncertainty around a 30¢ yes position. The 329% implied yield on the yes side is exceptionally high relative to the 247-day time horizon, suggesting either substantial mispricing or that traders are demanding significant compensation for the risk of holding an illiquid position through the entire 2026 MLB season. The realized volatility of 1207% and vol ratio of 8.58 indicate this market has experienced extreme price swings, though the recent 4¢ decline over seven days and neutral regime score suggest current stability.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regime

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