Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.07M open interest, creating a dangerously wide 69¢ spread that inflates the Yes yield to an unrealistic 276%. The 35¢ price reflects only 35% implied probability for Tatis to win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove, which seems reasonable given his injury history and competition, though the astronomical realized volatility of 1280% suggests prior price swings divorced from fundamental information. With 246 days to expiry and minimal recent price movement (34¢ to 35¢ over 7 days), this market appears abandoned by traders, making any position-taking risky until liquidity improves.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade