Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?

This market shows extreme skew typical of heavily one-sided political prediction markets, with the Democratic candidate priced at 92¢ reflecting strong structural advantage in WA-06, yet the contrasting 2091.8% implied yield on the No side reveals minimal liquidity on the Republican outcome—only $21,234 in total open interest across both sides. The zero 24-hour volume and 2¢ spread suggest this market is essentially inactive despite being 201 days from resolution, indicating either strong consensus around the Democratic outcome or insufficient trader interest to establish a liquid two-sided market.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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