Simple Functions

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Prediction markets currently give a 88% probability that Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?. This contract trades at 88¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2025.

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88¢
Bid/Ask 88/88¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $2,727.564·OI $4,787.02·Closes Dec 31, 2025
0xa2da5065a83989b35ac6225e4315be8f8b408fc5907cbe8c42208b7f5385c67f
7-day price63 snapshots
88¢88¢ current
Apr 984¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 87¢(Δ +1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 21.5%Close-time delta 8775h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:04:48 PM
Observability lowEvent type data_release

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xa2da5065a83989b35ac6225e4315be8f8b408fc5907cbe8c42208b7f5385c67f yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →