Will Sal Frelick win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?

Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Sal Frelick win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 63¢ spread, making the 32¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.

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35¢
Bid/Ask /70¢·Spread 70¢·Vol $0·OI $1,077.799·Closes Dec 19, 2026·241d remaining
0xa7d3b47e7e599e74e57db32b2eb1ba7afe8d6f9922d86ad636c702cfef530280
7-day price398 snapshots · 4 regime
44¢35¢ current
Apr 1327¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 63¢ spread, making the 32¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 300% implied yield on the yes side combined with 1371% realized volatility and a 9.40 vol ratio suggests highly speculative pricing rather than informed consensus, particularly concerning given Frelick's nascent MLB career and the 247 days to resolution. The neutral regime and modest 3.5/hour information arrival rate indicate this is a low-attention market where the current odds may not reflect genuine probability assessment.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 281.1%
IY (No) 81.5%
Adj IY 141%
CRI 2
Overround 5.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)281.1%
IY (No)81.5%
Adj IY141%
CRI2
Overround5.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
70¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:02 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa7d3b47e7e599e74e57db32b2eb1ba7afe8d6f9922d86ad636c702cfef530280 yes 100

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