Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Prediction markets currently give a 92% probability that Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?. This contract trades at 92¢ on Polymarket, closing March 24, 2026.

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92¢
Bid/Ask 91/93¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $3,239.208·OI $47,418.872·Closes Mar 24, 2026
0xa8e8cdf6ed1a4132ce687c5cd5d0eec65f439e0c83ae7bad3463a0906aba7aa8
7-day price133 snapshots
96¢92¢ current
Apr 881¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 90¢+2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 12.0%Close-time delta 8774h

Resolution rules

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:19:16 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa8e8cdf6ed1a4132ce687c5cd5d0eec65f439e0c83ae7bad3463a0906aba7aa8 yes 100

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