Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Prediction markets currently give a 79% probability that Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?. This contract trades at 79¢ on Polymarket, closing August 11, 2026.
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79¢Bid/Ask 77/80¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $77·OI $15,851.365·Closes Aug 11, 2026·111d remaining
0xafab12a935c3816aee7f912b20f16f2d564a2260991fb779fa6ce49acac4a5da
7-day price203 snapshots · 2 regime
80¢79¢ current
Apr 872¢Apr 21
Cross-venue
Also on kalshi at 78¢(Δ +1¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:14 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM
Trade
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sf trade 0xafab12a935c3816aee7f912b20f16f2d564a2260991fb779fa6ce49acac4a5da yes 100