Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 1/10¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $13.694·OI $993.359·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xb5fb2b79ca615bd9c27e150a00f7ca8038a8864cf778b39ac407f5c3a10e4b37
7-day price216 snapshots · 2 regime
46¢5¢ current
Apr 83¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2739.5%
IY (No) 7.6%
Adj IY 1370%
CRI 19
Overround 0.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2739.5%
IY (No)7.6%
Adj IY1370%
CRI19
Overround0.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:26:08 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb5fb2b79ca615bd9c27e150a00f7ca8038a8864cf778b39ac407f5c3a10e4b37 yes 100

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