Will Chanelle Torrez win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Chanelle Torrez win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

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17¢
Bid/Ask 13/21¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $11,269.729·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0xba27392b4dfb0bbc5b592b6569d20c8f77272fce3e5d338a2b51cd0da6b55e81
7-day price536 snapshots · 2 regime
33¢17¢ current
Apr 85¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6164.6%
IY (No) 297.0%
Adj IY 3082%
CRI 5
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)6164.6%
IY (No)297.0%
Adj IY3082%
CRI5
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:51:14 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xba27392b4dfb0bbc5b592b6569d20c8f77272fce3e5d338a2b51cd0da6b55e81 yes 100

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