Will Brice Turang win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?

Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Brice Turang win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.07M open interest, creating a dangerously wide 67¢ spread that inflates the Yes-side implied yield to 287%.

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35¢
Bid/Ask /70¢·Spread 70¢·Vol $0·OI $1,077.8·Closes Dec 19, 2026·241d remaining
0xbbb386ba7fd8bf4103698e81bbd0ad5c5811544f2a62c5b3f1eb0fda8502a9f4
7-day price321 snapshots · 4 regime
44¢35¢ current
Apr 1327¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.07M open interest, creating a dangerously wide 67¢ spread that inflates the Yes-side implied yield to 287%. The 34¢ price has remained completely static over seven days while realized volatility sits at an extraordinary 1,224%, suggesting the quoted price may not reflect genuine trading activity and could be highly unreliable for decision-making. With 247 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this appears to be a stale, thinly-traded market where the true probability of Turang winning the award is likely obscured by illiquidity rather than fundamental uncertainty.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 281.1%
IY (No) 81.5%
Adj IY 141%
CRI 2
Overround 5.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)281.1%
IY (No)81.5%
Adj IY141%
CRI2
Overround5.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
70¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:56 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xbbb386ba7fd8bf4103698e81bbd0ad5c5811544f2a62c5b3f1eb0fda8502a9f4 yes 100

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