Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing June 27, 2026.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 5/5¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $93.2·OI $16,095.575·Closes Jun 27, 2026·66d remaining
0xc68a09ebb3f9aba4a0824a05bd451e827579b459fa3d72d381936ed027556a7a
7-day price27 snapshots · 2 regime
7¢5¢ current
Apr 155¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10483.6%
IY (No) 29.0%
Adj IY 5242%
CRI 19
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10483.6%
IY (No)29.0%
Adj IY5242%
CRI19
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:26:11 PM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc68a09ebb3f9aba4a0824a05bd451e827579b459fa3d72d381936ed027556a7a yes 100

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