Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $11.8k open interest, suggesting the 83¢ price may not reflect true market consensus and could be stale. The massive disparity in implied yields—124.7% for Yes versus 2971.4% for No—indicates severe mispricing, with the No side offering astronomical returns if Munson loses, though this reflects the low probability already priced in rather than genuine opportunity. With 60 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 5, this is a high-risk position vulnerable to sudden price movements if new information about the primary emerges or liquidity dries up further.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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