Will Jonathan India win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with zero 24-hour volume despite a massive 908.6% implied yield on the yes side, suggesting the 14¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather stale pricing or minimal trading activity. The 27¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price, and the price has collapsed 39% over seven days (from 23¢ to 14¢), indicating either deteriorating sentiment around India's comeback prospects or technical selling pressure in a thin market. With $1,150.92 open interest and 247 days to expiration, this market lacks sufficient depth to be reliably predictive, and the extreme realized volatility (4,901%) combined with a cliff risk index of 6 suggests significant uncertainty about India's 2026 injury/performance trajectory.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade