Will Fentrice Driskell be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will Fentrice Driskell be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $12.7M open interest, suggesting the position is largely illiquid and potentially trapped.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $12.7M open interest, suggesting the position is largely illiquid and potentially trapped. The 4¢ price implies a 4% probability for Driskell, but the astronomical 7121% implied yield on "Yes" reflects the tiny denomination rather than genuine expected returns—a mathematical artifact of pricing at the market floor. With 123 days to expiry and a wide 5¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative long-shot bet with minimal price discovery and significant execution risk.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xc9ef2ba4100af1b7f48643b74a1e21ad94de7b3cc7c0bb63c2a191669b0ef456 yes 100