Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing June 9, 2026.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 7/12¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $14,235.761·Closes Jun 9, 2026·48d remaining
0xca8db0967278b9c2714267ea64c26257b89313c4669f2b2f96139b687a9b1401
7-day price790 snapshots · 2 regime
39¢10¢ current
Apr 87¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6822.3%
IY (No) 84.2%
Adj IY 3411%
CRI 9
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)6822.3%
IY (No)84.2%
Adj IY3411%
CRI9
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:12 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xca8db0967278b9c2714267ea64c26257b89313c4669f2b2f96139b687a9b1401 yes 100

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