What is the current probability for "Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 5¢ (5% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on November 12, 2026. 204 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3397.0% and 9.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing November 12, 2026.

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5¢

Bid/Ask 0/10¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $1,855.24·Closes Nov 12, 2026·204d remaining

0xcd3e94072ed3a1d03784529a0645d853ff83ff1a2d049088b8d6a1bce44ec27a

7-day price1118 snapshots · 3 regime

41¢5¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3397.0%

IY (No) 9.4%

Adj IY 1699%

CRI 19

Overround 0.6%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3397.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	9.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1699%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	19	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 8:26:31 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xcd3e94072ed3a1d03784529a0645d853ff83ff1a2d049088b8d6a1bce44ec27a yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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