Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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2¢
Bid/Ask 1/2¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $2,675.718·OI $7,640.932·Closes Jun 30, 2026
0xd1f296e1f58f9e7f6b0eb8a4f25c4e6759528c44e30c714debc311a4b5407afb
7-day price172 snapshots · 54 regime
3¢2¢ current
Apr 90¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:48:54 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xd1f296e1f58f9e7f6b0eb8a4f25c4e6759528c44e30c714debc311a4b5407afb yes 100

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