What is the current probability for " Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 30, 2026.

Where can I trade " Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 0% probability that Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?. This contract trades at 0¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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0¢mid

Bid/Ask 0/0¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $0·OI $5,998.19·Closes Jun 30, 2026

0xd32bf453f9f034a5d30cebd29355a49fdf7b083a722b6c218409f4c4bb694a07

7-day price43 snapshots · 1 regime

2¢0¢ current

Apr 80¢Apr 16

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 8¢(Δ -8¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.72IY 310.8%Close-time delta 30759h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.341

Spread

0¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 11:04:52 PM

Observability lowEvent type cultural

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xd32bf453f9f034a5d30cebd29355a49fdf7b083a722b6c218409f4c4bb694a07 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →