Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 74% probability that Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 74¢ on Polymarket.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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sf trade 0xd73a3ca0e0544f2b5bd4f32fca4a7d4fb691a260b431f5afa58f52a41c13d896 yes 100