Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

DeVries is priced at a severe discount with only 7¢ implied probability and an extraordinary 3943% annualized yield on the Yes side, yet the market shows zero 24-hour volume despite $14k open interest, suggesting this extreme pricing may reflect illiquidity rather than genuine consensus. The 1¢ spread is tight, but the massive yield asymmetry and complete absence of recent trading activity raise questions about whether this is a genuinely mispriced opportunity or a dead market with stale pricing. With 123 days to the August 2026 primary and a Cliff Risk Index of 13, traders should verify DeVries's actual campaign viability and polling before treating this 7¢ price as actionable.

Resolution rules

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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