Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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50¢
Bid/Ask 38/62¢·Spread 24¢·Vol $0·OI $374.812·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xf380e5059be8629ca1eb322c23b265f4e453a0233a55ac8ee56818861b88c781
7-day price448 snapshots · 2 regime
68¢50¢ current
Apr 832¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 19¢+31¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94IY 613.0%Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 144.2%
IY (No) 144.2%
Adj IY 72%
CRI 1
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)144.2%
IY (No)144.2%
Adj IY72%
CRI1
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
24¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:49 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xf380e5059be8629ca1eb322c23b265f4e453a0233a55ac8ee56818861b88c781 yes 100

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