Will Harry Arora win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Harry Arora win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing August 11, 2026.

██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
6¢
Bid/Ask 0/11¢·Spread 11¢·Vol $0·OI $1,541.159·Closes Aug 11, 2026·111d remaining
0xf51445abaac63089f9f1b5b294104e129180f31397992a4908a09b9dbad93913

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5144.7%
IY (No) 21.0%
Adj IY 2572%
CRI 16
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)5144.7%
IY (No)21.0%
Adj IY2572%
CRI16
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
11¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:34 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xf51445abaac63089f9f1b5b294104e129180f31397992a4908a09b9dbad93913 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions