Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?

This market is pricing ConsenSys's IPO odds at just 4%, implying an extremely tight 75-day window for a major crypto infrastructure company to go public—a timeline that historically favors the "No" side, reflected in its modest 20.3% implied yield versus the astronomical 11,692% yield on "Yes." The zero 24-hour volume and $2.56M open interest suggest minimal liquidity and conviction, while the 2¢ spread indicates low trading activity, making this a speculative long-shot bet rather than a liquid probability assessment. With a high cliff risk index of 24 and neutral regime conditions, the market appears to be pricing in ConsenSys's well-documented IPO ambitions as highly unlikely within this specific timeframe, though the extreme "Yes" yield reflects the substantial payout if an unexpected announcement materializes before June 30, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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