Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing November 12, 2026. Cam Schlittler's Cy Young odds have surged 175% over seven days (12¢ to 33¢), suggesting significant new information or betting activity, yet the market shows zero 24-hour volume and a massive 64¢ spread indicating severe illiquidity.
Analysis
Cam Schlittler's Cy Young odds have surged 175% over seven days (12¢ to 33¢), suggesting significant new information or betting activity, yet the market shows zero 24-hour volume and a massive 64¢ spread indicating severe illiquidity. The 353% implied yield on the yes side is extraordinarily high relative to the 210-day time horizon, reflecting extreme uncertainty and thin order books rather than genuine edge. With realized volatility exceeding 9,000% and a vol ratio of 17, this market appears highly speculative with minimal reliable pricing—traders should approach with caution given the disconnect between headline odds and actual trading activity.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0xff1e63f197af4d9a2d6d30947ebd71c277a28fa9dfaa7dbbdcc0cf3d3b2f186a yes 100