What is the current probability for "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 10¢ (10% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 23, 2027. 397 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2208.8% and 3.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing May 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $10.31 open interest, making the 7¢ spread largely meaningless for practical trading.

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10¢

Bid/Ask 4/9¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $10.31·Closes May 23, 2027·397d remaining

KXANIMEBR-26-RAN

7-day price19 snapshots · 2 regime

4¢4¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 20

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $10.31 open interest, making the 7¢ spread largely meaningless for practical trading. The 2195.6% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of low-probability, low-liquidity markets where even tiny price movements create outsized percentage returns, though the risk-adjusted yield of 1098% remains extraordinarily high. With 399 days until expiry and a neutral regime, this appears to be a speculative niche market with minimal trading activity where the 10¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus.

Resolution rules

If Ranma1/2 Season2 has won Best Romance Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2208.8%

IY (No) 3.8%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 24

Overround -0.2%

LAS 1.25

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2208.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	3.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 11:49:58 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 11:38:18 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXANIMEBR-26-RAN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →