Simple Functions

Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing September 13, 2026.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 4/5¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $10·OI $27,143.829·Closes Sep 13, 2026·144d remaining
0x4f2f23afda0d87b57ed33b08385c13c105f5d4472c168a52db4613c00219e4ab
7-day price41 snapshots · 31 regime
11¢5¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6077.0%
IY (No) 10.6%
Adj IY 3038%
CRI 24
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)6077.0%
IY (No)10.6%
Adj IY3038%
CRI24
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:49 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x4f2f23afda0d87b57ed33b08385c13c105f5d4472c168a52db4613c00219e4ab yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Related Prediction Market Questions

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)