2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?
Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that 2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $40 open interest, making the 331.7% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $40 open interest, making the 331.7% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 8¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 22¢ price, and with 624 days until expiry, the market has ample time for Andrew Scott's Oscar prospects to shift materially. The neutral regime score and flat 7-day price action suggest this is a speculative position with minimal market activity rather than an actively traded prediction.
Resolution rules
If Andrew Scott has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-AND yes 100