Will SWIM be #3 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 2, 2026
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will SWIM be #3 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 2, 2026. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with a 97¢ spread and zero 24-hour volume despite $200 in open interest, making any position difficult to execute at quoted prices.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with a 97¢ spread and zero 24-hour volume despite $200 in open interest, making any position difficult to execute at quoted prices. The 1¢ price implies only a 1% probability that BTS's "SWIM" reaches #3 on the Billboard Hot 100 for that specific week, which seems reasonable given the difficulty of predicting exact chart positions months in advance and BTS's variable chart performance in the U.S. market. With less than a week until expiration (closes 4/27/2026), this market is approaching resolution imminently, leaving minimal time for price discovery or position adjustment.
Resolution rules
If SWIM by BTS is ranked #3 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBBCHARTPOSITIONSONG-26MAY02SWI-3 yes 100