Will the Central Bank of Brazil Maintain current rate at the April Monetary Policy Meeting?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will the Central Bank of Brazil Maintain current rate at the April Monetary Policy Meeting?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 3/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $120·OI $4,759.72·Closes May 6, 2026·15d remaining
KXCBDECISIONBRAZIL-26APR29-HOLD
7-day price331 snapshots · 7 regime
12¢3¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Maintain current rate at April Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 78224.1%
IY (No) 74.8%
Adj IY 39112%
CRI 32
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)78224.1%
IY (No)74.8%
Adj IY39112%
CRI32

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 7:35:31 PM
Observability mediumEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 7:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXCBDECISIONBRAZIL-26APR29-HOLD yes 100

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