Will the European Central Bank Cut more than 25bps at the April ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will the European Central Bank Cut more than 25bps at the April ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing April 30, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 0/16¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $720.55·OI $2,365.3·Closes Apr 30, 2026·9d remaining
KXCBDECISIONEU-26APR30-C25P

Resolution rules

If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the April ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 129.4%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 32
Overround 0.0%
LAS 33.33
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)129.4%
Adj IY0%
CRI32
Overround0.0%
LAS33.33

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
16¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 7:07:29 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 6:53:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXCBDECISIONEU-26APR30-C25P yes 100

Related concepts

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